ongoing research

Development of an Intelligent Prediction Model for Infectious Disease Outbreaks

The increased incidences of infectious diseases such as malaria, attributed to climate change, pose a growing challenge to health systems across the globe (World Health Organization, 2022). These challenges are more pronounced in some regions, particularly, in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA), where current infectious disease surveillance systems are limited (World Health Organization, 2022). The toll of infectious diseases will tragically increase, especially in the context of climate change (Gaddy, 2020). The integration of IKSs with advanced Machine Learning (ML) and climate data presents a novel approach that may enhance the robustness of early warning systems for infectious diseases. Our research study uses ML, climate data and indigenous knowledge (IK) to develop a malaria early warning system. This approach addresses a critical gap in local health responses to infectious diseases such as malaria. By boosting IK with computational power, this study develops a more accurate and contextually relevant disease prediction system that may contribute to reducing outbreaks. Furthermore, the research study informs policy decisions to mitigate and manage malaria outbreaks.

research output

Publications in peer-reviewed or refereed Journals

Phoobane, P., Masinde, M. and Mabhaudhi, T.

Predicting infectious diseases: A bibliometric review on Africa. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(3), p.1893.

2022

Phoobane, P. and Masinde, M.

Investigating the adoption of indigenous knowledge in mitigating climate-linked challenges: a case study of Vhembe District in South Africa. International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), 12(7), pp.394-404.

2023

Phoobane, P., Masinde, M. and Botai, J.

Phoobane, P., Masinde, M. and Botai, J., 2022. Prediction Model for Malaria: An Ensemble of Machine Learning and Hydrological Drought Indices. In Proceedings of Sixth International Congress on Information and Communication Technology: ICICT 2021, London, Volume 3 (pp. 569-584). Springer Singapore.

2022

Phoobane, P., Mabhaudhi, T and Botai, J.

Predicting Malaria Outbreak Using Indigenous Knowledge and Fuzzy Cognitive Maps: A Case Study of Vhembe District in South Africa. In International Conference on Emerging Technologies for Developing Countries (pp. 145-164). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland.

2023